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As CEO of JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon has spent decades navigating economic cycles, from periods of high inflation to financial crises that reshaped global markets. His experience at the top of one of the world’s largest banks gives him a unique perspective on money, risk, and long-term financial planning.
For retirees and Baby Boomers, that perspective can be especially valuable as economic conditions continue to shift. In this piece, My Investment News highlights key lessons and insights from Dimon that can help guide financial decisions, retirement planning, and overall money management in the years ahead.
"Problems don’t age well."
Dimon has amassed an enviable string of winning moves during his nearly 20 years at the helm of JP Morgan Chase. However, he has also learned hard lessons about letting problems go unresolved, only to get worse:
- JP Morgan Chase needed $25 billion under TARP to keep afloat during the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis. Better hedging strategies or other measures could have helped JP Morgan Chase have less risk exposure to the sector before the bottom fell out, thus obviating the need for TARP funds
- The deadline for Basel 3 compliance compelled Dimon to address long-standing balance sheet and off-balance sheet problems that risked locking JP Morgan Chase out of international markets. Failing to deal with this deadline earlier forced Dimon and Bank of America’s Brian Moynihan to lobby the Federal Reserve for an extension date.
- Illegal debanking of religious and politically conservative clients by JPMorgan Chase and its peers over the past 4 years is now causing a backlash, prompted by an admonishment from President Trump at the WEF in Davos this past January. JP Morgan Chase recently announced it had overhauled its code of conduct to ensure this would not be repeated in the future.
Lesson: Don't Let Problems Fester
For those baby boomers looking at retirement or already in it, some of the problems that should not be put off include:
- Outstanding debt overhangs that are draining funds unnecessarily.
- Unheeded warning signs of potential health issues.
- Financial planning issues regarding one’s estate and will should be handled while one is still of sound mind and body.
Kicking the can on any of these problems can snowball into major crises if a disability from illness or accident renders one incapacitated.
“No one can forecast the economy with certainty.”
With thousands of market analysts on his payroll, Jamie Dimon knows full well the level of accuracy their market prognostications are able to achieve, as well as what their margin for error is. He has some of the most current and robust information on earth, and even he willingly confesses that no one can predict what happens next.
For individuals approaching retirement, they should keep this in mind. No matter how rosy (or cloudy) things may look today, they can change swiftly, and no one knows what will happen tomorrow. Prepare your finances for both rain and shine.
Lesson: Prepare A Resilient Portfolio
- Set up an emergency fund if they do not already have one.
- Some diversification of invested assets, such as ETFs for bond income, REIT income, and equity dividend income.
- If the retiree is using a smartphone or computer on a regular basis, establishing alerts for any items in the portfolio that can prompt warnings for contingency steps is a very good idea.
“Just because you have a good hand today doesn’t mean it’s good tomorrow. And some of the things we’re doing may become very disadvantageous at some point.”
It can be very tempting to enter retirement with an attitude towards letting the retirement portfolio go on autopilot, since the nest egg has done so well in the market over the past several years. However, such complacency would be unwise and could set you back far more than it helps you.
Bill Bengen, the financial advisor responsible for the famed 4% withdrawal rule for retirees, corrected himself some years later. He admitted that his assumptions were based on an abnormally strong market and low inflation in the 1960s, leading up to his 4% calculation figure. In retrospect, he thought that a 7% withdrawal rate might be more reflective of a longer historical market and inflation cycle.
However, another more recent study puts the figure at 3.7%. These contrasting rules of thumb just go to show that even with perfect data and the benefit of hindsight, it's hard to peg what 'the best' approach would have been. The only rule of thumb is that the more conservative you are, the safer you will be if things don't turn out your way.
Lesson: Regularly Audit Yourself
Retirees could benefit from a quarterly, if not monthly, review of a retirement nest egg for any market changes that can affect the value or income generation properties of the contained assets. What worked great in the past might not be such a good thing to have going forward.
This is the same wisdom that underlies rebalancing. Checking in with your portfolio to see what's working, and what isn't is a good annual habit. You may find that you need to adjust your spending up, or down based on market conditions.
You worked hard to get to retirement, don't waste it by forgetting to check on your own portfolio.
“You can never have equal outcomes, but you can have equal opportunity.”
One of the hit or miss traps that many DIY investors fall into is to think that just copying someone else’s successful trades or purchases will equate to long-term similar results. What worked for someone else in the past may not be the best strategy for you today. The advantage of research and knowledge on the part of the role model cannot be dismissed.
Remember, you have an equal opportunity to find the next best investment today.
Lesson: Do Your Own Research
Moral of the story: ultimately, doing one’s own research and taking their own responsibility for investment decisions, instead of lazily copying someone else in a blindly uninformed fashion, is the better road to long term success. Everyone has the opportunity to see the same information and make their own conclusions.
“We don’t have a divine right to success.”
It can be easy to look at all of the financial success the United States has experienced the last few decades and think that success comes easy, or is guaranteed. Past returns are no guarantee of future success. That applies to companies, markets, and different investment types. If you are preparing to enter your retirement years remember that a portfolio steadily increasing by 10% or more a year is not guaranteed.
Lesson: Ongoing Success Must Be Earned Every Day
You must be prepared for volatility, ups and downs, and even change course when needed. If you were counting on rental properties for income and your local market experiences a population flight, you must be prepared to change course.
Financial success is hard won, and ongoing success must be earned every day. If you are entering retirement, be ready for the chance that you may have to work on your portfolio, extra income, or spending in order to maintain your lifestyle.
As Jamie Dimon knows as well as anyone, anything is possible. Stay vigilant.