Economy Archives

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The US Just Sanctioned The International Criminal Court Itself, Hours After A Former ICC Judge Won The Nobel Peace Prize. American Companies Have Six Months To Cut Ties

Published: by AJ Tiarsmith

Hours after a former ICC judge won the Nobel Peace Prize, the Trump administration moved against the court itself in a way that now puts American companies doing business with it on a six-month clock to cut ties.

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“Some Of These Metrics Are Vague”: A Bloomberg Reporter Explains Why Nobody Can Agree On What OpenAI Actually Earns

Published: by AJ Tiarsmith

A single OpenAI revenue figure sent AI stocks tumbling, then recovering, all in one day because investors could not agree on what that number actually measured. The gross versus net distinction at the heart of the confusion reveals a larger problem brewing between private AI giants and the public markets they now move.

A line graph depicting increasing values over eleven months, overlaid on a background of scattered black integrated circuit (IC) chips. The graph has a y-axis scaled from 0 to 300,000, and an x-axis labeled with months from January to November. Three lines, one white solid, one green solid, and one blue dotted, all show an upward trend, indicating growth. The chips are dark grey to black with silver pins, some showing numbers like '6612' and '28'.

Singapore’s Foreign Minister Says Taiwan Has Replaced China As His Country’s Biggest Trading Partner, And Credits AI And Semiconductors

Published: by AJ Tiarsmith

Singapore's foreign minister just named a surprising new top trading partner, and he says the semiconductor and AI industries drove the shift. His remarks carry bigger implications for how supply chains across Southeast Asia are quietly being redrawn.

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Evercore’s Sarah Bianchi Says AI And Chip Companies Could Be Called To Testify. Markets Give Republicans A 36% Shot At The Senate.

Published: by Eric Bleeker

A midterm shift in congressional control could put the biggest names in tech under oath before a committee, and one senior policy strategist says the market is already pricing in who gets to hold the gavel.

A composite image with an ethereal blue and white overlay, showing stacks of silver coins and various financial bar charts and line graphs. The dome of the U.S. Capitol building is visible on the right, partially translucent, representing the connection between government and financial markets.

The VIX Is In The Bottom Fifth Of Its Range. RBC’s Amy Wu Silverman Says That’s The Problem.

Published: by Joel South

RBC's head of derivatives strategy sees a dangerously quiet options market and says one category of risk has been completely left out of the pricing. Her argument centers on a threat she calls the single most mispriced thing she tracks.

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Ed Yardeni Says Surging Yields Are A Sign Of Strength, Not Fear

Published: by AJ Tiarsmith

Treasury yields are surging toward levels not seen in years, and one prominent forecaster thinks almost everyone is reading the signal wrong. His explanation involves retiring baby boomers, a rethinking of neutral rates, and a direct clash with the Fed chair's latest move.

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The 10-Year Treasury Is At Its Highest In A Year. Mortgage Rates Just Followed It To A 52-Week High.

Published: by AJ Tiarsmith

Treasury yields just hit territory not seen in a year, and mortgage rates followed them straight up, ignoring a jobs report that should have pulled them back down. Find out what bond traders saw in the details that the headline missed.

A man with a beard and hair in a bun, wearing a light blue shirt and an ID badge, sits at a white desk, looking pensively at a computer monitor displaying financial market charts with a red downward trend. His hands are clasped under his chin. On the desk are a white mug, a notepad, a black computer mouse, a silver keyboard, and a white modern desk lamp. The background shows a blurred office with other workers and city buildings through large windows.

AI Just Turned Every Worker Into A Manager. Molly Graham Says Most Of Them Actively Chose Not To Be One.

Published: by Joel South

Molly Graham spent nearly 20 years watching people deliberately opt out of management, and she thinks AI just assigned them the job anyway. The psychological cost she describes is not what most productivity pitches mention.

A woman with blonde hair and black-rimmed glasses, wearing a light blue shirt, sits at a white desk in a modern office. She is looking intently at two large computer monitors displaying colorful financial charts and graphs on a dark background. Her right hand rests on a computer mouse. A silver laptop is partially visible on the desk in the foreground to the right, and the bright, spacious office is blurred in the background.

Nuveen’s Saira Malik Says A Weak Jobs Report Takes An October Rate Hike Off The Table. The Ten-Year Treasury Yield Just Hit A One-Year High.

Published: by AJ Tiarsmith

A soft jobs report just scrambled the outlook for stocks, bonds, and working families all at once, and three experts looking at the same data reached three completely different conclusions about what it means.

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Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari Sees One More Rate Hike This Year And Another In 2027, Even After Inflation Data Came In Softer Than Expected

Published: by Eric Bleeker

Softer inflation data arrived and a top Fed official left his rate hike plans completely untouched, while bond markets are pricing in far more tightening than the Fed itself expects. Someone has this badly wrong, and the repricing when the gap closes will hit bond holders hard.

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The Treasury Is About To Auto-Enroll More Than 60 Million Kids In Trump Accounts. The $1,000 Deposit Only Goes To Some Of Them

Published: by Jeremy Phillips

Tens of millions of children are about to get Trump Accounts whether their parents ask for one or not, but the $1,000 government deposit comes with a catch that depends entirely on when your child was born.

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The Senate Just Voted To Hand College Sports An Antitrust Exemption. Here Is What That Actually Means, And Why Almost No Industry Gets One

Published: by Eric Bleeker

Congress just handed college sports something almost no industry ever receives, and the fight over who it actually protects has barely begun.

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‘Trade Has Been Weaponized’: Thailand’s Foreign Minister on Negotiating Tariffs Without Superpower Leverage

Published: by Joel South

Thailand's foreign minister says the real sticking point in US tariff talks has nothing to do with the tariff rate itself, and his choice of words reveals exactly where mid-sized economies lose leverage in this era of trade as foreign policy.

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Former Singapore Foreign Minister on AI: ‘It Marks a Qualitative Leap in Human Civilization. It Will Change Everything From Top to Bottom’

Published: by AJ Tiarsmith

Two of Asia's most seasoned diplomats argue the most transformative technology in human history has arrived at the single worst moment for the two powers building it to talk to each other. What that tension means for capital, compute, and global stability deserves a closer look.

A wide, slightly angled shot of a modern, highly automated factory floor. Multiple white and blue robotic arms extend over a conveyor belt system, where electronic circuit boards are being assembled. The factory is brightly lit with cool white fluorescent lights, reflecting off the clean, metallic surfaces. Green indicator lights are visible on various machines. The overall impression is one of precision, efficiency, and advanced industrial technology.

Defense Manufacturer CEO: ‘It’s Not a Humanoid Robot Problem.’ The Real Bottleneck in Autonomous Factories Is Software

Published: by AJ Tiarsmith

A defense manufacturing CEO says the entire robotics conversation is focused on the wrong part of the factory. His explanation of where the real bottleneck lives challenges some expensive assumptions about what autonomous production actually requires.

rare earth minerals

US, China Trade Talks Focus on Extension Terms as Rare Earth Exports Drop 21%

Published: by AJ Tiarsmith

Chinese rare-earth magnet shipments to the United States fell 21% in August from the month before, according to Bloomberg correspondent […]

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Olympics Banker: LA 2028 Will Be the “Biggest Event in the History of the World,” and the Business Model Proves It

Published: by AJ Tiarsmith

Goldman Sachs banker Gene Sykes built the financial case for LA 2028 on a structure so unusual it requires broadcasters to buy rights to Games in cities that have not yet been chosen. The logic behind that bet reveals something strange about how the Olympics actually works as a business.

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Goldman M&A Banker Says Only 2% of Companies Are Seeing Real AI Impact on Earnings

Published: by AJ Tiarsmith

A Goldman Sachs M&A banker just handed investors a hard number to separate corporate AI theater from real earnings impact, and the gap between those two things is wider than almost anyone in the market is admitting.

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The World Has Lost 7 Million Barrels a Day of Refining Capacity. Almost All of It to Drones.

Published: by Jeremy Phillips

Drones operating across three simultaneous conflict zones have quietly crippled something more critical than oil production, and a top energy advisor says the diesel market is now completely untethered from the rules that used to keep prices predictable.

Tall stacks of colorful shipping containers, each adorned with the national flag of a different country such as the EU, Taiwan, Japan, Canada, India, China, Mexico, Sri Lanka, and Switzerland. The foreground is crossed by yellow caution tape, prominently displaying the word 'TARIFFS' in black letters and small US flags, creating a visual barrier. A bright blue sky with sparse clouds forms the background.

The US Just Held Back a 7.5% China Tariff. Bloomberg’s Trade Lead Says Beijing Still Has the Upper Hand.

Published: by Joel South

Washington held back a new China tariff just before Xi and Trump sit down, and Bloomberg's trade lead reads that move in a way that flips the usual power narrative on its head.

Chinese flag and skyscrapers

Forget a Grand Bargain: The Realistic US-China AI Deal Is “Let’s Notify Each Other When Our Agents Are Out of Control”

Published: by Eric Bleeker

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is meeting Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in New York this weekend, and artificial intelligence is […]

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The U.S. Chip Industry Needs 157,000 More Workers by 2030. The Jobs Pay Up to $187,000.

Published: by AJ Tiarsmith

The U.S. semiconductor industry is staring at a puzzle that labor economics is supposed to solve on its own. Chip […]

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Ex-White House AI Advisor: Safety Concerns Are Engineering Problems, Not Regulatory Ones

Published: by Jeremy Phillips

A former White House AI advisor is drawing sharp lines between existential catastrophe and a misconfigured sandbox, but the incident he uses to make that case keeps getting more complicated with every new report.

Famale Engineer in Front of Quantum Computer

“No AI Bubble”: Brad Gerstner Says Only 25 of the Forecast 43 Gigawatts of AI Compute Will Actually Come Online

Published: by AJ Tiarsmith

Brad Gerstner, the founder of Altimeter Capital, used his appearance on the September 17, 2026 episode of All-In to push […]

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Von der Leyen: EU’s State of Union ‘Strongest It Has Ever Been’ Amid Historic Transformation

Published: by Jeremy Phillips

Ursula von der Leyen opened her 2026 State of the Union address by calling the EU simultaneously the strongest and the most precarious it has ever been, and she meant both claims at once. What she said next reveals why that paradox may be the most consequential framing European investors have heard in years.

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Billionaires Spend $150M to Kill California’s Proposed Wealth Tax Ahead of November Vote

Published: by Joel South

California's wealthiest residents are funding a ballot strategy so clever that voters who want to tax billionaires could accidentally vote against themselves. The mechanics behind Propositions 41 and 42 are where the real fight is happening.

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CNBC’s Fed Survey Just Delivered a Verdict: ‘One and Done’ Rate Hikes Are Over

Published: by AJ Tiarsmith

The CNBC Fed Survey just recorded its sharpest one-month swing in rate hike expectations in recent memory, and the economists behind it are pointing to something bigger than energy prices to explain why.

A split image horizontally compares investment options. On the left, a laboratory scene features a Pfizer pill bottle, stacks of gold coins, a rising stock chart with a security shield, a flask, and a 'RETIREMENT PORTFOLIO' binder. On the right, a Starbucks barista offers a coffee cup, an arrow formed from coffee beans points upwards, a smartphone displays a rising SBUX stock chart, and a 'RETIREMENT PORTFOLIO' binder is also present. A 'VS.' icon separates the two halves.

Pfizer vs. Starbucks: Which Turnaround Stock Is Better for Retirement Income?

Published: by Antonio Freyelli

Pfizer and Starbucks are both staging turnarounds investors can point to, but for a retiree choosing between them, the question of which one actually fits a real income portfolio cuts in a surprising direction.

Gold Bullion and Bitcoin Cryptocurrency on 100 US Dollar

Gold and Bitcoin Jump as Treasury Expands Bond Buybacks. What Investors Should Know

Published: by Mike Barrington

The Treasury just doubled the size of its bond buybacks and may tap nearly a trillion dollars in government cash to fund them, and both gold and Bitcoin moved violently in response. Here is what the move actually signals about liquidity, long-term yields, and what retirees need to watch.

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U.S. Debt Tops $40 Trillion as Treasury Doubles Long-Term Bond Buybacks

Published: by Mike Barrington

Treasury just doubled the size of certain long-term bond buybacks, sending yields lower before markets reversed course. For retirees leaning on bonds for steady income, understanding what that move actually signals about federal borrowing and rate risk could matter more than the headline suggests.

3 Stocks to Watch If the U.S.-Canada Tariff Pause Becomes a Deal

Published: by Antonio Freyelli

A U.S.-Canada trade deal looks close, but close is doing a lot of work right now. Three stocks with real exposure to the outcome stand to gain or lose depending on details that negotiators have not yet finalized.

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The 30-Year Treasury Is Above 5%. These 5 Dividend Stocks Have More to Prove

Published: by Antonio Freyelli

Long-term Treasuries now pay enough that a fat dividend yield no longer justifies skipping the hard questions about debt, cash flow, and whether the payout can survive a downturn. Five popular income stocks are put to the test.

A medium shot of Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, an East Asian man, wearing glasses and a black leather jacket. He is looking slightly to his right, speaking and gesturing with both hands. The background is a white wall with repeating green NVIDIA logos and blue CES logos.

Bank of America Says Nvidia Could Be 50% Undervalued. The $105 Billion Risk Investors Should Watch

Published: by Mike Barrington

Bank of America sees massive upside in Nvidia, but the same strategy driving that optimism also puts hundreds of billions of dollars on the line in ways most investors have not fully worked through.

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Billionaire Joel Greenblatt’s 5 Biggest Moves This Quarter Reveal a Surprising Defensive Shift

Published: by Mike Barrington

Joel Greenblatt's latest 13F filing sent analysts scrambling to label it a defensive pivot, but the five biggest moves tell a far more complicated story about where Gotham is actually placing its bets.

Nvidia Wants Wall Street to Finance $500 Billion of AI. Here’s the Risk for Investors

Published: by Andrew Clemente

Nvidia just announced a plan to bring some of Wall Street's biggest names into the AI infrastructure boom, and the headline number sounds staggering. But the financial commitment Nvidia itself has actually made tells a very different story.

Scott Bessent

The Treasury Refunded $100 Billion in Tariff Revenue, but Scott Bessent Says You Won’t See a Penny

Published: by Andrew Clemente

The Supreme Court forced Washington to refund roughly $100 billion in tariff revenue to American businesses, but Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has a pointed warning for consumers who think that money is coming their way.

Fake Social security card on prop US currency .

Retirees Could Face a 22% Social Security Cut. This $3 Trillion Plan Could Help

Published: by Andrew Clemente

Social Security's retirement fund is heading toward a crunch that could shrink monthly checks for millions of households, and a surprising pair of senators think they have found a way to change the math before the clock runs out.

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Jim Cramer Warns Micron Investors “You Could Lose Your Shirt”

Updated: by Andrew Clemente

Jim Cramer is warning investors that the biggest near-term risk in several high-flying technology stocks may not be weak earnings […]

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Is Your Bicentennial Quarter Worth $19,200? Try This 10-Second Test to Find Out

Updated: by Andrew Clemente

A Bicentennial quarter really did sell for $19,200, but that does not mean the 1776-1976 coin sitting in a kitchen […]

105.8 Million Americans Aren’t Working. Here’s Why Retirees Should Care

Updated: by Andrew Clemente

The June 2026 jobs report delivered a reassuring headline and a more complicated warning underneath it. The unemployment rate edged […]

I Keep Hearing About Social Security Cuts. Is It Just a Myth?

Published: by Ian Cooper

In 2024, President Trump said he would not cut Social Security or Medicare. In fact, he specifically stated, “I will […]

Earnings Previews: Conagra, Constellation Brands, Lamb Weston

Published: by my247investing742news

Before U.S. markets open on Thursday, three companies in food and beverage businesses are on deck to report quarterly results.

Germany and Ireland Officially Tip Eurozone Economy Into Recession

Published: by my247investing742news

While the eurozone was tipped into recession primarily due to elevated energy and food costs triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, negative economic data stemming from Germany and Ireland also played a major role.

Earnings Previews: Best Buy, Dollar Tree

Published: by my247investing742news

Two retailers, one featuring technology and appliances and the other a mainstay of the off-price sector, are set to report earnings before markets open on Thursday.

Analysts Expect the Fed to Pause Rate Hikes Soon as Senators Weigh In

Published: by Trey Thoelcke

The Federal Reserve has aggressively raised interest rates since March last year to combat higher inflation. While the central bank […]

Tech Leads US Layoffs With 21,387 Workers Sacked in February

Published: by Trey Thoelcke

US-based companies cut 77,770 jobs in February, compared to 102,943 in January. Tech companies continued to lead the layoff race, […]

Eurozone Inflation Cooled to 8.6% in January, CPI Declines for 3rd Month

Published: by Trey Thoelcke

Inflation across Europe has continued its downward movement, dropping for the third consecutive month. The consumer price index in the […]

Small Businesses Lead Hiring Spree: 3.67M Jobs Added Since Feb 2020

Published: by Trey Thoelcke

Small businesses with fewer than 250 employees accounted for the bulk sum of hiring within the US since the start […]

Midwest Shines Bright Amidst Otherwise Gloomy US Housing Market

Published: by Trey Thoelcke

With mortgage rates spiking above 7% for the first time in 20 years, the pandemic-fueled housing boom came to a […]

Possible Negative Impacts of the COLA Spike on Retirement – Don’t Overlook These

Published: by Trey Thoelcke

In October, the Social Security Administration (SSA) announced the biggest boost to next year’s cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) in four decades. […]

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