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Google Says Data Centers Built “the Right Way” Can Lower Everyone’s Electric Bills. A Small Minnesota Town Will Test It

Ink illustration: a giant orange electrical plug lies in a snowy field, its cord running back to a tiny prairie town with a grain elevator and a few houses.

Google Says Data Centers Built “the Right Way” Can Lower Everyone’s Electric Bills. A Small Minnesota Town Will Test It

Quick Read

  • Google claims building a data center the "right way" can actually lower everyone's electric bills, though Xcel Energy tells a very different story.
  • A 780MW data center could spread grid costs thin enough to shrink household bills, or it could saddle ratepayers with billions. The same deal is being used to argue both outcomes.
  • Whatever Minnesota regulators decide about one small town's power deal could redraw the rules for every tech giant racing to lock up electricity across the U.S.
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Where we heard itCNBC, report on data centers and the aging grid in Pine Island, Minnesota, Oct. 19, 2026. Speakers include Jigar Shah of Multiplier, an Xcel Energy representative and David Pomerantz.

AlphabetGOOGL unit Google wants to build a data center in Pine Island, Minnesota, that would draw 780MW, which is enough to power more than half a million homes, according to a CNBC report published Oct. 19. Google is building the project with Xcel EnergyXEL, and it has become a test case for whether tech companies can pay to upgrade the grid without raising local bills. The Minnesota Public Utilities Commission still has to approve it.

Quote: “If you fit the load growth that the data centers want into the existing grid, everybody’s rates go down by a lot.” Jigar Shah, Multiplier, in CNBC’s report
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Aging Grid Meets Thousand-Megawatt Demand

An industry expert in the report said: “70% of our transmission grid in the US is over 25 years old, and it’s starting to reach the end of its natural life. And that means we need to invest more capital as a country to update these grids.”

An industry observer described how much bigger the new facilities are: “What’s happened in the last few years is we’ve gone from data centers that are 25, 50MW to data centers that are now 1000MW or 5000MW, or we’re even talking about 10,000MW. So all of a sudden, it’s a couple orders of magnitude larger.”

A megawatt is one million watts. It measures how much power a facility draws from the grid at any given moment. CNBC counts more than 2,600 data center projects planned across the U.S., and together they could add nearly 400GW of demand. The report also says U.S. gas-fired capacity built to power data centers nearly doubled in the first half of 2026. Google, Meta PlatformsMETA, MicrosoftMSFT and AmazonAMZN are all racing to lock up power. Alphabet alone spent $44.9 billion on capital expenditures in Q2 2026.

Elsewhere in the data center buildout, CoreWeave’s unsecured bonds fell far enough to yield about 15%. In energy stocks, futures trader Bill Baruch says three refiners did the heavy lifting in this year’s rally, which many credit to AI and rising electricity demand.

Line chart: Minnesota homes pay about 25% more for power than in 2019. Average residential electricity price over the prior 12 months rose from 13.0 cents per kilowatt-hour in December 2019 to 16.2 cents in July 2026 in Minnesota, and from 13.0 to 18.0 cents for the U.S. as a whole, up 38%.
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Google’s “Right Way” Pitch

A speaker in CNBC’s report said: “The truth of the matter is that data centers can be designed the wrong way, and they can be designed the right way. And if you design them the right way, they can reduce electricity rates for everybody.”

Here are the deal terms as reported:

  • Google pays the cost of connecting to the grid.
  • Google funds 1,900 megawatts of new resources: 1,400MW of wind, 200MW of solar and 300MW of iron-air battery storage.
  • Minimum demand charges require Google to pay for a set level of power even if it uses less. Exit fees charge Google if it leaves early. Both keep Google on the hook if demand falls short.
  • Xcel expects the agreement to deliver approximately $1.1 billion of benefits to customers.
  • Google has committed $127 million in direct community investment: $100 million for infrastructure, $24 million for Pine Island Public Schools and $3 million for the city.

A Former Energy Official’s Case for Spare Capacity

Jigar Shah, a partner at Multiplier, said: “If you fit the load growth that the data centers want into the existing grid, everybody’s rates go down by a lot.” Utilities have to pay for poles, wires and substations no matter how much power flows through them. A large customer that runs on spare capacity spreads those fixed costs across more usage, so each household’s share can shrink.

The Pine Island deal by the numbers

Data center draw780MWPlanned load at the Pine Island site
Customer benefit$1.1BWhat Xcel projects for its other customers
Alphabet capex$44.9BSpent in the second quarter of 2026 alone
Xcel 2026 outlook$4.04 to $4.16Ongoing earnings per share, reaffirmed July 30

Even Xcel Says Bills Will Rise

An Xcel Energy representative said: “You’re not going to see your bills lower. There’s inflation everywhere else that we’re all experiencing, but when we bring these large users onto the system and do it right like we have with Google, it can actually help drive down that inflation, even though bills are going to increase.” In other words, Xcel’s claim is about how fast bills go up. Households should expect increases that come more slowly than they otherwise would.

Skeptics Flag Billions in Potential Costs

David Pomerantz, described in the report as an independent monitor, said: “I buy that data centers could lower costs for ratepayers in theory. There are a lot of things that have to happen for that promise to be made true. If those things don’t happen, it’s very possible for data centers to raise customers’ costs.”

On October 1, 2026, the Minnesota Attorney General’s Office warned that costs tied to the project may rise into “billions” for Xcel ratepayers. CBS News and KTTC reported that the office asked Xcel for more information to make sure Google pays all of the costs of its own data center. Analysts also point out that utilities earn returns on the infrastructure they build. That gives them little reason to favor models that require building less.

One Pine Island resident said: “I don’t think it’s worth it. I’m concerned that they’re going to use all of our electricity. Where’s all that energy coming from?”

Why Pine Island Matters Beyond Minnesota

Whatever Minnesota regulators decide could shape how other tech giants negotiate for power and how commissions handle utility contracts with large data center customers. For Xcel, the question ties directly to its plans. The company reaffirmed 2026 ongoing EPS guidance of $4.04 to $4.16 per share, which assumes constructive outcomes in all pending rate case and regulatory proceedings.

Bar chart: Google would fund 1,900MW of new supply for a 780MW site. Rated capacity of the new resources in the Xcel deal: 1,400 megawatts of wind, 300 megawatts of iron-air battery storage and 200 megawatts of solar, compared with the data center's planned draw of 780 megawatts.
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On paper, the promise holds up: Google covers the costs, funds new supply and bears contractual penalties if its demand falls short. Whether households actually feel the benefit depends on that contract holding and on regulators implementing it.

The bottom line

Supporters in CNBC’s report say a data center that pays its own way and fills spare grid capacity can spread fixed costs and slow the rise in everyone’s bills. Even Xcel says bills will still go up. The risk is that Google’s costs end up on other customers if the contract falls short or Google cuts its demand, a gap Minnesota’s attorney general puts in the billions.

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